HUISBAAS
13-09-10, 22:09
Afghanistan should be allowed to partition along ethnic lines by pulling back NATO forces and acknowledging that the Taliban will not be defeated in its heartland, a former U.S. national security adviser has warned.
Robert Blackwill, who was Condolezza Rice's deputy as national security adviser in 2003 and 2004, will use a speech at the International Institute of Strategic Studies think tank in London today to call on U.S. President Barack Obama to make dramatic changes in the war's objectives.
He told The Daily Telegraph the surge of forces launched last year to stabilize Afghanistan was "highly likely" to fail and the death toll in the conflict was too high a price to pay.
"The Taliban is winning, we are losing," he said. "They have high morale and want to continue the insurgency. Plan A is going to fail. We need a Plan B.
"Let the Taliban control the Pashtun south and east, the American and allied price for preventing that is far too high."
Blackwill said there had been a decade of "innumerable errors" in the Western approach to Afghanistan. Most notably U.S. policy shifted after the Sept. 11 attacks from expelling al-Qaeda from its Afghan sanctuaries to crushing the Taliban and installing a democratic government in Kabul.
The result was that the U.S. now had 1,000 soldiers deployed for every one of the estimated 100 al-Qaeda operatives now believed to be based in Afghanistan and was hemorrhaging $100 billion a year on the conflict.
Blackwill believes the U.S. should seek to defend only those areas dominated by Afghanistan's Tajik, Uzbek and Hazara minorities by pulling out of bases in the south.
By accepting that the Taliban would overrun Kandahar and other big population centres, the U.S. would threaten the Taliban only if it allowed al-Qaeda to reform or if the movement started to encroach northwards.
"How many people really believe that Kandahar is central to Western civilization?" he asked.
"We did not go to Afghanistan to control Kandahar. Our preference at the time of the attack was for the Taliban to give up al-Qaeda, not to change the regime."
Alongside misdirected strategy, the "utter corruption" of the government of President Hamid Karzai had eclipsed Nato's hopes to keep the Taliban at bay after its defeat in late 2001.
In contrast to Blackwill's view that Afghanistan's army and police could not be made ready to control the whole country, Liam Fox, the British Defence Secretary, said the forces would assume responsibility by 2015.
"If we were to leave before 2015, a point at which on current progress we expect to have achieved our security aims, it would be a shot in the arm to violent jihadists everywhere, re-energizing violent radical and extremist Islamists," he said.
Read more: http://www.ottawacitizen.com/news/Ta...#ixzz0zR6peSGX (http://www.ottawacitizen.com/news/Taliban+winning+losing+says+former+adviser/3515062/story.html#ixzz0zR6peSGX)
Dit bewijst dus dat Mullah Omar de waarheid heeft gesproken en gelijk heeft. De overwinning voor de Taliban is nabij insha'a Allah.
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Robert Blackwill, who was Condolezza Rice's deputy as national security adviser in 2003 and 2004, will use a speech at the International Institute of Strategic Studies think tank in London today to call on U.S. President Barack Obama to make dramatic changes in the war's objectives.
He told The Daily Telegraph the surge of forces launched last year to stabilize Afghanistan was "highly likely" to fail and the death toll in the conflict was too high a price to pay.
"The Taliban is winning, we are losing," he said. "They have high morale and want to continue the insurgency. Plan A is going to fail. We need a Plan B.
"Let the Taliban control the Pashtun south and east, the American and allied price for preventing that is far too high."
Blackwill said there had been a decade of "innumerable errors" in the Western approach to Afghanistan. Most notably U.S. policy shifted after the Sept. 11 attacks from expelling al-Qaeda from its Afghan sanctuaries to crushing the Taliban and installing a democratic government in Kabul.
The result was that the U.S. now had 1,000 soldiers deployed for every one of the estimated 100 al-Qaeda operatives now believed to be based in Afghanistan and was hemorrhaging $100 billion a year on the conflict.
Blackwill believes the U.S. should seek to defend only those areas dominated by Afghanistan's Tajik, Uzbek and Hazara minorities by pulling out of bases in the south.
By accepting that the Taliban would overrun Kandahar and other big population centres, the U.S. would threaten the Taliban only if it allowed al-Qaeda to reform or if the movement started to encroach northwards.
"How many people really believe that Kandahar is central to Western civilization?" he asked.
"We did not go to Afghanistan to control Kandahar. Our preference at the time of the attack was for the Taliban to give up al-Qaeda, not to change the regime."
Alongside misdirected strategy, the "utter corruption" of the government of President Hamid Karzai had eclipsed Nato's hopes to keep the Taliban at bay after its defeat in late 2001.
In contrast to Blackwill's view that Afghanistan's army and police could not be made ready to control the whole country, Liam Fox, the British Defence Secretary, said the forces would assume responsibility by 2015.
"If we were to leave before 2015, a point at which on current progress we expect to have achieved our security aims, it would be a shot in the arm to violent jihadists everywhere, re-energizing violent radical and extremist Islamists," he said.
Read more: http://www.ottawacitizen.com/news/Ta...#ixzz0zR6peSGX (http://www.ottawacitizen.com/news/Taliban+winning+losing+says+former+adviser/3515062/story.html#ixzz0zR6peSGX)
Dit bewijst dus dat Mullah Omar de waarheid heeft gesproken en gelijk heeft. De overwinning voor de Taliban is nabij insha'a Allah.
__________________
Oorspronkelijk geplaatst op forums.ansaar.nl